Now that the first round of the NFL draft is complete, here’s my fantasy analysis of players’ values for the upcoming season and beyond.
Goff is set to compete with Case Keenum and potentially Nick Foles, but he shouldn’t have much trouble earning the team’s Week 1 starting gig. Regardless, the 6-foot-4, 215-pound pocket passer is unlikely to generate much fantasy production in 2016. With a rookie passer, Jeff Fisher calling the shots and Todd Gurley in the backfield, expect a low-volume, low-scoring, run-heavy offensive attack in Los Angeles. Goff isn’t worth drafting in 2016 fantasy leagues but is obviously worth stashing in dynasty.
2016 projection: 273-of-460, 3,077 yards, 15 TD, 14 INT; 36 carries, 104 yards, 1 TD
Wentz is 6-foot-5, 237 pounds and nearly two years older than Goff, but he is bigger, more athletic and has shown better accuracy. Wentz projects as a quarterback who will add value — and fantasy points — with his legs, but he’s unlikely to see much work in 2016. The Eagles are committed to Sam Bradford as their Week 1 starter, and Chase Daniel was also signed during the offseason. If the Eagles are eliminated late in the season, Wentz will get some work, but he’s extremely unlikely to add much fantasy value in Year 1.
2016 projection: 64 of 109, 721 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT; 12 carries, 47 yards, 1 TD
If Goff and/or Wentz are good, nobody will care about the cost. But we won’t know if they’re good for a few years. Dynasty picks, not 2016.
– Eric Karabell (@karabellespn) April 29, 2016
Veteran deference might get Darren McFadden and Alfred Morris the early first-team looks in camp, but it won’t take long for Elliott to take full control of the Dallas backfield. The former Buckeye sports 4.47 wheels and stands 6-foot-0, 225 pounds. He’s a terrific rusher, solid receiver and arguably the best blocker among incoming running backs. Behind the Cowboys’ elite offensive line, Elliott, who is only 20 years old, is in for what should be both an efficient and high-volume rookie campaign. Elliott should be on your radar as a fringe top-10 fantasy running back this season.
2016 projection: 259 carries, 1,175 yards, 7 TD; 52 receptions, 442 yards, 2 TD
Healthy Romo & Dez, that O-Line… May I introduce you to Ezekiel Elliott, fantasy superstar? (Sorry DMC & Morris dynasty owners)
– Matthew Berry (@MatthewBerryTMR) April 29, 2016
The top wide receiver off the board slots right in as Cleveland’s No. 1 wide receiver … unless suspended Josh Gordon returns. Coleman is a threat on all levels of the field and is versatile to the point that he’ll be handling deep shots, bubble screens, carries and returns. With the Browns so devoid of talent, Coleman is a strong bet to lead the team in targets and receptions in 2016 (followed by Gary Barnidge and Duke Johnson Jr.). If Gordon returns, Coleman’s volume will take a hit, but he’s good enough to sustain a significant role. The obvious main concern here is the team’s quarterback situation, but Week 1 favorite Robert Griffin III is sure to look Coleman’s way early and often. For now, view him as a solid flex option.
2016 projection: 75 receptions, 992 yards, 4 TD
#Browns should put Coleman at X receiver and give him 4 or 5 routes to run. Cater to his talent, speed. Allow him to be a playmaker.
– Matt Bowen (@MattBowen41) April 29, 2016
In the midst of an offensive overhaul, the Texans added Fuller to a list of offseason acquisitions that also includes QB Brock Osweiler and RB Lamar Miller. Somewhat of a one-trick pony, Fuller has 4.32 wheels to go with his undersized 6-foot-0, 186-pound frame. He’s going to be used primarily as a deep threat, but is a good route runner and will be put in position to make plays with the ball in his hands. While DeAndre Hopkins hogs the short and intermediate targets, Fuller will stretch the defense. With intriguing Jaelen Strong also in the mix, and considering the Texans’ questionable quarterback situation, Fuller has the looks of a boom/bust flex option in 2016. He’ll be an interesting weekly option in DFS tournaments.
2016 projection: 55 receptions, 851 yards, 4 TD; 5 carries, 29 yards
Texans updated skill players outlook:
QB: Brock Osweiler
RB: Lamar Miller
WR1: DeAndre Hopkins
WR2: Will Fuller
All sorts of speed.
– Field Yates (@FieldYates) April 29, 2016
Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson are both 29 years old and entering a contract season. The Redskins are looking to the future while also adding another offensive weapon, and figure to use Doctson as a situational player during his rookie campaign. At 6-foot-2, 202 pounds, Doctson is easily Washington’s biggest receiver and very well could be busy behind Jordan Reed near the goal line. A perimeter receiver, Doctson may also lose reps to slot man Jamison Crowder this season. Of course, Jackson lined up in the slot on 28 percent of his routes and Garcon 21 percent last season, so Doctson will certainly be mixed in. Likely to be a part-time player in 2016, Doctson is worth nothing more than a late-round flier. Of course, should Jackson or Garcon miss time, he’ll be well worth considering for your flex spot.
2016 projection: 42 receptions, 528 yards, 3 TD
Doctson had the best drop and reception rates among the top four WR prospects.
– KC Joyner (@KCJoynerTFS) April 29, 2016
Treadwell is a much-needed addition to an offense that finished 28th in the league in offensive touchdowns last season. Stefon Diggs was a nice find in the fifth round last year and supplies Teddy Bridgewater with a solid one-two punch at the position. Treadwell is only 20 years old and isn’t particularly fast, but stands 6-foot-2, 221 pounds and has terrific hands. The ceiling here is extremely high, but Treadwell figures to start slowly, considering his age and the Vikings’ run-heavy. Talent and upside keeps him in the flex conversation, but Treadwell is best viewed as a bench player out of the gate in 2016.
2016 projection: 65 receptions, 832 yards, 4 TD
Treadwell & #Vikings: Size/toughness at WR for Bridgewater. Own the middle of the field. Red zone production. Catch radius. Physical player.
– Matt Bowen (@MattBowen41) April 29, 2016
Following the retirement of Peyton Manning and the loss of Brock Osweiler to Houston, the reigning Super Bowl champion Broncos were suddenly without a competent quarterback option. Enter Lynch, who will compete with veteran Mark Sanchez for the team’s Week 1 starting gig. In terms of long-term intrigue, Lynch is a step down from Goff and Wentz, but there’s a lot to like. He towers over his competition at 6-foot-7 and 244 pounds and is athletic for his frame. With a quality arm, solid accuracy and the ability to add a few hundred yards with his legs, Lynch has the tools to be a fantasy asset, but it’s hard to see him generating much production in what will certainly be a run-first offense in Denver this season. Lynch should get the Week 1 starting nod, but he shouldn’t be in fantasy lineups.
2016 projection: 305 for 530, 3,571 yds, 19 TD, 17 INT; 45 carries, 205 yards, 2 TD